OUR THESIS

The future is announced in legal documents first.

Companies leave clues about what they're building long before it becomes obvious. Patents are one of the richest public sources of those clues, showing the technical bets, the people behind them, and the problems a company has decided are worth solving. They're written in dense technical language and largely ignored by everyone else.

We want to change that.

A single filing rarely tells you much. A pattern of them tells you a lot.

Nest filed its first thermostat patents in 2010, before it had shipped a product. Three years later it had more than 200 filings covering occupancy detection, automatic scheduling, and energy optimization in the home. The direction was legible the whole time, years before Google bought the company for $3.2 billion.

The people who can read them are doing very well.

Every week thousands of patents go public. Startups protecting new inventions, big companies defending their moats, whole industries showing their hand. All of it is free to access. Reading it takes more hours than anyone has and a high tolerance for dry prose, so the people who keep up tend to be the ones paid to. Hedge funds fold patent data into their models alongside earnings and market fundamentals, and the research says it earns its place. Companies that file patents have beaten the market for decades.

Who reads filings today
  • Quant funds with patent-data subscriptions
  • Patent lawyers billing by the hour
  • Big companies tracking their rivals' filings
Who gets the press release
  • Founders hearing about it at launch
  • Investors without a data budget
  • Engineers and everyone else who's curious

Firms with patents beat the US market in 97% of ten-year periods, 1990-2017 (O'Shaughnessy Asset Management + Quant IP)

Innovation should be accessible to everyone.

Following what's being built next shouldn't need a Bloomberg terminal. It should feel like your favorite weekly read. That's what we're making.

We read the filings, connect the dots, and tell you what might be coming next.

Plenty of tools can summarize a patent. The interesting part is everything around it, the competitors, the capital, the market it lands in, and what it means if the thing works. That's where we spend our time.

One patent a week, eight angles
01
The Hook

A story that shows you how the world is about to change.

02
How It Works

The patent decoded to plain English.

03
The Problem

Why this patent exists, and why you should care.

04
Who's Solving It

The competitive landscape. Who's already in the race.

05
Deal Flow

Who's raising, who's acquiring, and the deals shaping the space.

06
The Market

How big it is, how fast it's growing, and what it opens up.

07
The Risk

Legal risk, technical risk, and what it could mean for the world.

08
What's Next

Our speculation on where this goes. The part we find most interesting.

The future is already filed.

One patent a week, decoded into plain English. Free forever.

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